Running Back Scoring by Quarters in 2011

One of the things I’m always struggling with is trying to figure out how usage changes will impact running backs.  It’s a really difficult question because looking at per carry averages doesn’t really get you there.  One thought I’ve had is to look at only quarters where the RB touched the ball and then extrapolate points based on those quarters.  Below is a table where I’ve done that.  I show FP/Qtr that the back touched the ball, and then I extrapolate that to a full game pace.  I am now the proud owner of Kevin Smith (I’m actually not that proud) in one league, so I was happy to see his name in the top 10.

Name QTRS w/ Touches FPs/QTR Full Game Pace
Arian Foster 50 5.13 20.51
LeSean McCoy 60 4.71 18.85
Ray Rice 63 4.69 18.77
Adrian Peterson 42 4.46 17.86
Fred Jackson 39 4.45 17.81
Darren McFadden 25 4.27 17.09
Kevin Smith 23 4.20 16.80
Maurice Jones-Drew 64 4.12 16.49
Matt Forte 45 3.84 15.38
Marshawn Lynch 60 3.67 14.66
Michael Turner 60 3.62 14.47
Ryan Mathews 54 3.54 14.18
Ahmad Bradshaw 46 3.45 13.81
Jahvid Best 25 3.43 13.71
Steven Jackson 55 3.33 13.33
Michael Bush 59 3.18 12.71
Reggie Bush 59 3.06 12.25
Frank Gore 59 3.06 12.24
Chris Wells 56 3.02 12.09
Rashard Mendenhall 54 3.00 12.01
Darren Sproles 63 2.95 11.80
DeMarco Murray 42 2.85 11.38
Willis McGahee 55 2.83 11.33
BenJarvus Green-Ellis 53 2.80 11.20
Chris Johnson 62 2.77 11.09
Mike Tolbert 55 2.76 11.03
Derrick Ward 10 2.74 10.96
Shonn Greene 60 2.70 10.81
LeGarrette Blount 46 2.69 10.77
Tim Hightower 19 2.69 10.76
Cedric Benson 58 2.62 10.48
Jonathan Stewart 58 2.54 10.17
Ben Tate 53 2.53 10.12